Probability | Tūponotanga – A guide for teaching probability (ages 5-18)
Probability | Tūponotanga – A guide for teaching probability (ages 5–18) has been created by the New Zealand Statistical Association Education Committee. The Education Committee wishes to thank both the New Zealand Statistical Association (NZSA) and the New Zealand Association of Mathematics Teachers (NZAMT) for their financial support towards the production of this teachers’ guide so that it could be made available electronically to all teachers at no charge.
This teachers’ guide has been created to support teaching probability for students at the schooling level. While the focus has been to create a guide to support teaching the New Zealand Curriculum, we are confident that the materials and ideas are relevant to all jurisdictions.
A primary focus for the book has been to meld teaching and learning practice with research knowledge to provide teachers with guidance that is relevant and practical, and backed by research.
The book is being created in three stages:
Stage 1 (July 2025):
- Wāhanga | Chapter 3 Building the language of probability: Vocabulary, visualisations and concepts
- Wāhanga | Chapter 4 Modelling uncertainty: Exploring probability from a modelling perspective
Stage 2 (December 2025): Working titles only
- Wāhanga | Chapter 1 Te Matauranga o Te Arorangi: Māori perspectives on probability
- Wāhanga | Chapter 2 Tracing the threads of chance: A Journey through the history of probability
- Wāhanga | Chapter 5 Digital tools: Harnessing technology for probability explorations and analysis
- Wāhanga | Chapter 6 Inherent beliefs about probability: Unravelling probability fallacies
- Wāhanga | Chapter 7 Rolling the dice: Exploring games of chance
- Wāhanga | Chapter 8 Beyond chance: Probability enquiry cycles
- Wāhanga | Chapter 9 Mapping uncertainty: Exploring probability distributions
Stage 3 (June 2026): Working titles only
- Wāhanga | Chapter 10 The fabric of uncertainty: Delving into probability theory
- Wāhanga | Chapter 11 Risk: Navigating uncertainty and decision making
- Wāhanga | Chapter 12 Empowering understanding: Building Probability Literacy
- Wāhanga | Chapter 13 From dice to decisions: Probability in everyday life
- Wāhanga | Chapter 14 Parallel paths: Similarities and contrasts in statistical and probability models
To reference this book:
Arnold. P. (Ed.). (2026). Probability | Tūponotanga – A guide for teaching probability (ages 5-18). New Zealand Statistical Association Education Committee. [DOI to come]
Probability | Tūponotanga – A guide for teaching probability (ages 5-18) is sponsored by:
