P Y6 Sky Spies new
This lesson investigates the probability of rain as predicted by weather apps and compares these forecasts with actual rainfall observations over time. Ākonga will compare forecast probabilities of precipitation with observed rainfall data to investigate how well predicted probabilities align with long-term outcomes and assess the reliability of weather forecasts.
This activity explores the following key ideas:
- engage in chance-based investigations, including those with not equally likely outcomes, by:
- posing an investigative question
- anticipating and then identifying possible outcomes for the investigative question
- undertaking a probability experiment and recording the occurrences of each outcome
- creating data visualisations for possible outcomes
- describing what these visualisations show
- finding probabilities as fractions
- answering the investigative question
- reflecting on anticipated outcomes
- compare findings from a probability experiment with forecasted probabilities.
- identify, explain, and check others’ statements about chance-based investigations, referring to evidence.
